June 4, 2021
Investment would be easy if circumstances never changed. If
an asset that brings reliable returns one day continues to do so forever,
life would be simple – although fund managers would
be out of a job. But things do change, and investors need to be able to respond
to that, realigning their assets to reflect real circumstances.
A low-yield environment like the one we are in, pushes
investors to consider alternative assets, such as direct real estate
investment. These are the kinds of assets that offer attractive relative
returns, but because of their illiquidity, it is very difficult to rebalance a
portfolio of these assets when the need arises. Investors
are locked in – to their disadvantage.
The news of
Aviva closing its open-ended property fund is yet another reminder of this.
Suspended last year because of uncertain asset values, the fund doesn’t have
the liquidity to resume normal trading and meet expected demand from investors
who want to redeem their shares. Those investors who would want to divest
can’t, and now they have to wait for the fund’s closure on 19 July.
Aviva’s
decision shouldn’t come as a surprise, because funds like that suffer from a
fundamental liquidity mismatch. Their chunky assets are difficult to buy and
sell quickly enough, forcing them into a corner when problems arise. The result
is that fund managers cannot guarantee daily trading, and in times of crises
they’ve been forced into fire sales to free up cash. Meanwhile, investors find
themselves holding assets that are sold at a discount or stuck in funds that no
longer meet their needs.
What happened
to Aviva’s property fund is bound to happen again to other open-ended retail
funds. The real estate industry knows the model isn’t good enough and, for
years, we’ve needed a solution that fixes this issue with liquidity. The
Financial Conduct Authority and the Bank of England review of open-ended funds
published in March 21, was welcomed by the Financial Policy Committee which had
deep concerns over funds overestimating their liquidity.
IPSX is now that solution.
Mailbox REIT plc, our first admission, made history on 14 May as the first security
based on a single real estate asset to start trading on a regulated exchange
created exclusively for property. An office-led building in Birmingham, the
Mailbox is anchored by the BBC – a strong, government-backed lease – with
complementary retail and leisure. Rather than betting on funds that have
historically left investors with few choices, investors can now buy and sell
shares in this building as a direct, liquid real estate investment. In the first week of trading, we have seen a
small premium to the issue price, against the backdrop of wider global markets
volatility and steep falls in Bitcoin values. WH Ireland and Peel Hunt are
acting as market makers, with others expected to join them in due course.
In short, IPSX
gives investors freedom. If they wish to hold shares in a particular building
for a long time, they can, and if they wish to sell those shares at any point,
they can. There is never a risk of being locked in. Moreover, IPSX ensures that
the choice to buy, hold or sell will be based on unrivalled transparency.
For the first time, Income
Analytics reports are available on all
issuers, giving a bond-like rating as well as an overview of the tenants that
are paying rent. An investor interested in the Mailbox REIT plc, for
example, has all the information they need available to them. The report gives investors
clarity around the income streams of each
asset trading on the exchange. This transparency enables investors to make better
informed, data-driven decisions and will become a vital part of redefining how
real estate is transacted in the future.
In this way,
IPSX combines the liquidity of the public market with the return profile of the
private market. Working with its Trading Members, IPSX provides access to the
sector and solves the liquidity issue through an FCA-regulated exchange.
Some investors relish the illiquidity of real estate. Some
of them say: “I don’t want publicly traded real estate because I’m happy to not
feel the need to mark to market.” The lack of daily pricing means it might
appear that their asset is stable. But just because it appears stable doesn’t
mean it is.
Investors cannot bury their heads in the sand with
traditionally illiquid assets. One day they might realise their safe, reliable
portfolio has missed out on a boom in a particular real estate sector. But the
reality is that the trends that drive the growth of certain assets – whether
they are offices or shops or warehouses – don’t happen overnight. If investors
have access to greater liquidity, they can hop on the train before it leaves
the station.
At times, holding an asset for years will be the right
strategy for certain investors. Taking the long view can absolutely be a
reasonable investment decision, but that decision should be just that: a
decision. For years, the products available to the market have forced the choice
on investors, but that’s no longer the case.
IPSX provides the opportunity to counter the risks that
arise from illiquidity. Real estate investors
can now proactively manage and rebalance their portfolios. They no longer have
to make a choice between real estate or liquidity. They can have both.
IPSX Wholesale is a market exclusively for institutional and professional investors.